Trading Review for 3/10/2000
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Successful trading is about knowing where to look for opportunities, knowing when to seize the opportunity (or not), and managing their risk to maximize their profits. To that end, let's take a quick look at today's trading action relative to the top Trade Prospector signals:
Volatility - Volatility Compressions, Trading Range Patterns, and Multiday Patterns
CMRC Traded within its boundaries - no trade (this one is brewing some volatile action) INCY Gapped below its lower breakpoint but recovered and found strong support just above the lower breakpoint - no trade, but also a breakout/breakdown waiting to happen JNPR Blasted through its 280.5 upper breakpoint for up to 20 points MLNM Broke through its 236.2 upper breakpoint for up to 9 points - potentially more volatility left in this one A Fell through its 146.2 lower breakpoint triggering shorts for up to 3 points - this one could also still have more volatility left in it VNTR Continued its multiday breakdown through its 185 lower breakpoint for up to 9 points - don't risk a long position in this one without a clear reversal signal ANCR Opened at its 54 upper breakpoint and triggered long positions for up to 2 1/2 points - strong multiply tested resistance at its 56.1 SR could indicate inadequate buying pressure and a selloff coming CHKP Initially triggered traders short at its 268.1 lower breakpoint for about 3 points and then triggered them long at its 275.8 upper breakpoint for up to 25 points
Momentum - Breakthrough Momentum and Momentum Intersections
VRSN Gapped lower (but not below its failure boundary) but recovered and triggered longs at its 241.3 continuation boundary for up to 4 points BGEN Gapped higher but continued its downard momentum through its 89.5 continuation boundary for up to 8 points DNA Initially triggered a reversal long entry at its 194.3 failure boundary for up to 3 1/2 points and then triggered a continuing short entry at its 187.8 continuation boundary for for up to another 6 points BVF Continued selling off triggering shorts at its 52.4 continuation boundary for up to 3 points PHCM Gave a long entry at its 170 continuation boundary for up to 38 points NTRO Gapped lower but then continued its upward movement through its 101.7 boundary for up to 18 points VIAN Failed its momentum near its 42.3 continuation boundary and sold off - no trade though
Trading Channel - Channel Breach, Near Trading Channel, and Near/Narrow Channel
TERN Pulled back below its 264.3 upper trading channel boundary and triggered longs when it traded through it to the upside in the afternoon for uo to 5 points AMCC Broke through its 299 upper breakpoint triggering longs for up to 6 points ASDV Remained within its boundaries - no trade (watch for a possible big movement once the split is absorbed) IMCL Remained within its breakpoints and trading channel - with such a narrow channel, expect a sizable move when it happens PDLI Gapped below its trading channel and lower breakpoint - no trades JDSU We noted yesterday to watch this one, it broke below its 134.6 lower channel boundary for up to 9 points and then ramped back through its 141.1 upper channel boundary for about a point only to fail in its momentum and sink back into its channel - watch for further channel breaches within the next couple of days MEDX Bounced off its upper trading channel boundary and sold through its 163.8 lower channel boundary for up to 20 points PEB Remained within its trading channel - look for a big breakout soon
Envelope - Breakout Patterns and Envelope Patterns
ADAP Triggered long entries at its 191 boundary for ip to 18 points OMKT Failed its breakout and traded within a few point trading range - look for a possible breakdown on Monday BWEB First gapped beyond its 56.5 continuation boundary and then sold off, it recovered and continued its upward push back through 56.5 for about 2 1/2 points PMCS Triggered longs at its buy boundary of 245.8 for up to 9 points QQQ Triggered buys at its 230.5 breakout boundary for about 1 point - watch out though, the NDX is at least a short term selloff waiting to happen BBY Failed to clear its breakout entry price and sold off - no trade yet, but this looks like a potential false breakout
Knowing where to expect, and capitalizing on, reversals is a key profit making tool in the daytrader's arsenal.
Whipsaws can happen in choppy markets and traders should always step away from the trade or give themselves more distance from the original entry boundary when a reversal occurs (such as adding one point to the reversal side of the trade entry boundary) to reduce the effect. Losses are a fact of life, but they can be easily kept to a minimum while maximizing your profits with proper stop management.
Recognizing that a mere one point per day profit when trading 500 shares (or 5 option contracts) is $120,000 per year, you begin to understand the potential for profit in applying Trade Prospector's information.
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Disclaimer: Third Millennium Trading does not recommend the purchase or short sale of any stocks. Trading should be based on your own understanding of market conditions, price patterns and risk. The information presented here is designed to contribute to your understanding. Controlling risk through the use of protective stops is critical (more).