Trading Review for 3/9/2000
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Successful trading is about knowing where to look for opportunities, knowing when to seize the opportunity (or not), and managing their risk to maximize their profits. To that end, let's take a quick look at today's trading action relative to the top Trade Prospector signals:
Volatility - Volatility Compressions, Trading Range Patterns, and Multiday Patterns
CMRC Triggered long trades at its 268.4 upper breakpoint for up to 6 points JNPR Sold at the open, pulling back into its trading channel below its 270.5 upper boundary - when it traded back through this boundary it triggered long trades worth up to 9 points CHKP Remained within its boundaries - no trade (but continue to watch for an eventual breakout or breakdown) A Bounced within its boundaries - no trade (but also continue to watch for an eventual breakout or breakdown) SPYG Bounced off its 73 lower breakpoint and traded through its 77.1 upper breakpoint triggering long breakout trades for up to 16 points CCU Triggered long trades at its 61.2 upper breakpoint for up to 3 1/2 points COMS Gapped down at the open and sank until rebounding just short of its 67.8 lower breakpoint boundary - it then traded up but failed short of its 73.9 upper breakpoint only to close the day near its lower breakpoint again - no trade but watch out for an eventual breakout or breakdown TBH Gapped open above its 158.3 upper breakpoint but pulled back to offer a long entry worth up to 3 1/2 points - it closed back near its upper breakpoint - watch for further potential action
Momentum - Breakthrough Momentum and Momentum Intersections
LCOS Sank from the open but recovered short of its 68.7 momentum failure boundary - it ultimately fractionally penetrated its 76 continuation boundary but then pilled back and continued to demonstrate an inability to continue its momentum decisively through that boundary - watch for potential momentum exhaustion and some selling soon GOTO Gapped at the open (but short of its 52.3 downward momentum failure boundary) and then continued its downward movement finding support multiple times near its lower breakpoint - the congestion at the lower BP could be indicative of a waning downward momentum and a reversal may be brewing APEX Triggered brief fractional long trades at its 42.6 continuation boundary - but pulled back about a point near the close - multiday traders should tighten stops to in case the upward momentum does not resume KANA Triggered long entries at its 164 continuation boundary twice for up to 10 points each TIBX Gapped open and then pulled back below its 135.4 entry boundary, when it traded through that boundary long trades were triggered worth up to 4 points MMGR Gapped open beyond its 61.3 continuation boundary, but triggered long entries when it penetrated its 63.4 upper breakpoint for up to 4 points
Trading Channel - Channel Breach, Near Trading Channel, and Near/Narrow Channel
CRA Remained within its boundaries - no trade (but keep watching this stock because it could breakout/breakdown soon) MLNM Also remained within its boundaries - no trade (buy also watch this stock for a potential coming breakout/breakdown) TERN Pulled back into its trading channel from the open below 262, when it again traded through that channel boundary it triggered long trades for up to 23 points ASDV Gapped open to its 154.9 upper trading channel boundary triggering long entries for up to 25 points PEB Triggered shorts at its 108.7 lower channel boundary for up to 3 points - it recovered and returned to its trading channel - keep watching this stock for an eventual large move ETEK Triggered shorts at its 276.5 lower channel boundary for up to 6 points but closed back in its channel - watch this stock too for an eventual big move JDSU Traded within its trading channel - watch for an eventual big move from this stock too MEDI Triggered shorts at its 193.1 lower channel boundary for up to 4 points - likewise, this stock closed back inside its channel and is worth keeping on your watch list DITC Remained within its trading channel and currently shows on the multiday pattern indicators - watch for a big move out of this one
Envelope - Breakout Patterns and Envelope Patterns
CPTH Triggered longs at its 116.1 continuation boundary for ip to 3 points, however the stock found strong repeated resistance at its 109.6 SR - this could indicate a coming selloff DMIC Opened short of its upward continuation boundary and sold off only to end up congesting around its 44.3 SR3 directional swing price - no trade but given its action, if it falls through the 42-43 support zone it could keep going for a while ROWE Failed to penetrate its downward continuation boundary at 18.6 and pulled back - no trade PG Continued through its 57.3 downward momentum continuation boundary for up to 1 point - this stock is starting to flatline after falling off the cliff a few days ago, it could continue down further, but is likely it will pullback from the lows soon at least short term CYTC Triggered long buys at 54.4 for up to one point STT We noted yesterday to keep an eye on this since it found support near 62.8 yesterday, it reversed as expected and triggered long entries at its 65.5 failure boundary for up to a point - multiday traders keep an eye on this because its bottoming and reversal could mean a continued short term rebound (reversal traders who risked going long at the open while risking no more than the 62.8 support were rewarded for 3 points today) ANN Bounced off its 24.5 buy entry price level - no trade, but watch to see if its breakout continues or turns into a false breakout
Knowing where to expect, and capitalizing on, reversals is a key profit making tool in the daytrader's arsenal.
Whipsaws can happen in choppy markets and traders should always step away from the trade or give themselves more distance from the original entry boundary when a reversal occurs (such as adding one point to the reversal side of the trade entry boundary) to reduce the effect. Losses are a fact of life, but they can be easily kept to a minimum while maximizing your profits with proper stop management.
Recognizing that a mere one point per day profit when trading 500 shares (or 5 option contracts) is $120,000 per year, you begin to understand the potential for profit in applying Trade Prospector's information.
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Disclaimer: Third Millennium Trading does not recommend the purchase or short sale of any stocks. Trading should be based on your own understanding of market conditions, price patterns and risk. The information presented here is designed to contribute to your understanding. Controlling risk through the use of protective stops is critical (more).