Trading Review for 3/3/2000
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Successful trading is about knowing where to look for opportunities, knowing when to seize the opportunity (or not), and managing their risk to maximize their profits. To that end, let's take a quick look at today's trading action relative to the top Trade Prospector signals:
Volatility - Volatility Compressions, Trading Range Patterns, and Multiday Patterns
VNTR Head faked traders by peaking through its 212.7 lower breakpoint and stopping them out for about 1 1/2 point losses - the price action continued to baseline at the lower breakpoint until about 1pm ET when it bounced but hit strong resistance near its SR3 directional swing price and remained trapped within its boundaries - this remains a good candidate for Monday CRA Poked its head fractionally through its 240.8 upper breakpoint and stopped traders out for fractional to 2 point losses - this remains a good candidate for Monday YHOO Triggered shorts at its 154.5 lower channel boundary for up to 2 points and gave long entries at its 157.9 upper breakpoint for up to 4 points - this also remains a good candidate for Monday ASDV Gave good long entries at its 161.5 upper breakpoint for up to 10 points VSTR Triggered long trades at its 136.2 upper breakpoint for up to 7 points IMCL Gave traders a long entry at its 142.9 upper breakpoint for up to 8 points ICOS Remained trapped within its boundaries - no trade SEBL Gapped open beyond its 139.3 upper breakpoint - if you took the entry on the pullback to 140 (which you shouldn't have because it was more than 1/2 point beyond the breakpoint), you were rewarded for your risk with up to 13 points
Momentum - Breakthrough Momentum and Momentum Intersections
CNXT Gapped open reversing its momentum and finally breached its 85.3 downward momentum failure boundary for up to 9 points VRIO Gapped way open but failed to penetrate its failure boundary and remained within the momentum boundaries - no trade ADBE Gapped open as well but failed to breach its failure boundary and remained within the momentum boundaries - no trade RHAT Gapped open, but nevertheless gave a long entry at its 67.6 momentum continuation boundary for up to 4 points SCMR Reversed its momentum and crashed through its 175.1 failure boundary twice - first for up to 6 points and again for up to another 6 points WAVX Remained bounded by its momentum boundaries - no trade PCLN Continued its upward momentum by triggering traders long twice at its 72.7 upper boundary - first for about 1 point and again for 2 points
Trading Channel - Channel Breach, Near Trading Channel, and Near/Narrow Channel
VITR Bounced around within its boundaries briefly triggering a short at its 170.6 lower channel boundary for about a 1 point loss and then giving traders a long signal at its 179 upper breakpoint for up to a 1 point gain - this will likely be a good breakout/breakdown candidate for Monday HYSQ Traded within its boundaries - no trade VSTR Triggered long trades at its 136.2 upper breakpoint for up to 8 points PHCM Gapped open higher but quickly sank triggering short trades at its 143.6 lower breakpoint for up to 2 1/2 points - it closed at its lower breakpoint and is a good breakout/breakdown candidate for Monday TXCC Gapped higher and then sank back below its 98.1 upper trading channel boundary - it triggered long trades twice when it penetrated that boundary again to the upside - first for up to 3 points and again for up to 3 points COMS Was on a rollercoaster following its huge selloff the day before but didn't offer any good trade entries CMTO Gapped higher and then used the 66.2 upper breakpoint for support - traders who took long positions when the price dropped below 66 and then rebounded through the upper breakpoint picked up about 4 points by the end of the day MCRL Gapped above its trading channel but eventually triggered long trades after it sank back below its 107.3 upper channel boundary and then broke out to the upside again for up to 5 points ENZ Gapped just under 1/2 point above its 84 upper channel boundary triggering long trades (if you missed the entry at the open you also got an entry at the 85.9 upper breakpoint a little later) for up to 7 points
Envelope - Breakout Patterns and Envelope Patterns
IMCL Gapped open but gave traders a long entry when it pulled back to within 0.1 of its 141.9 continuation boundary giving traders up to 8 points PCLN Gapped open but after pulling back it triggered long trades at its 72 continuation boundary for up to 3 points BJS Lost all of its steam and cratered from the open but remained above its 62.3 envelope failure boundary - no trade PDE Traded within its boundaries - no trade LLTC Also traded within its boundaries - no trade
Of interest to daytraders, from the Trading Index - RMBS (20 points), SDLI (16 points), PDLI (39 points), TERN (20 points), AETH (10 points), INCY (40 points), CRA (19 points), JNPR (12 points)
Knowing where to expect, and capitalizing on, reversals is a key profit making tool in the daytrader's arsenal.
Whipsaws can happen in choppy markets and traders should always step away from the trade or give themselves more distance from the original entry boundary when a reversal occurs (such as adding one point to the reversal side of the trade entry boundary) to reduce the effect. Losses are a fact of life, but they can be easily kept to a minimum while maximizing your profits with proper stop management.
Recognizing that a mere one point per day profit when trading 500 shares (or 5 option contracts) is $120,000 per year, you begin to understand the potential for profit in applying Trade Prospector's information.
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Copyright 2000, by Third Millennium Trading. All rights reserved. This information is proprietary and reserved for the personal use of Trade Prospector users and registrants. No other use is permitted without the express authorization of Third Millennium Trading.
Disclaimer: Third Millennium Trading does not recommend the purchase or short sale of any stocks. Trading should be based on your own understanding of market conditions, price patterns and risk. The information presented here is designed to contribute to your understanding. Controlling risk through the use of protective stops is critical (more).