Trading Review for 3/1/2000
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Successful trading is about knowing where to look for opportunities, knowing when to seize the opportunity (or not), and managing their risk to maximize their profits. To that end, let's take a quick look at today's trading action relative to the top Trade Prospector signals:
Volatility - Volatility Compressions, Trading Range Patterns, and Multiday Patterns
VITR Triggered short trades when it fell through its 187 lower breakpoint for 11 points CIEN Signaled long trades as it traded through its 162.8 upper breakpoint for 17 points TERN Triggered traders short at its 250.7 lower breakpoint twice - once for 5 points and again for up to 20 points MLNM Gave short entry at its 253.7 lower breakpoint for 3 points CRA Gave a brief 2 point short at its 231 lower breakpoint NSOL Triggered longs at its 325.9 upper breakpoint for up to 10 points CMDX Now trading under the symbol VNTR - it gave a short signal at its 218.5 lower breakpoint for up to 6 points INCY Sold through its 271.5 lower breakpoint twice - once for up to 10 points and later (after congesting near this key resistance) for up to 30 points
Momentum - Breakthrough Momentum and Momentum Intersections
SFE Swung wildly in the morning but remained within its momentum boundaries - no trade LRCX Poked fractionally through its 158.8 momentum continuation boundary only to have momentum fail and sell off for most of the day - if you took this reversal at the key boundary you were rewarded with up to 13 points, otherwise you were stopped out for about 1 point SAWS Continued its upward momentum through its 50.1 continuation boundary for up to 10 points WAVX Gapped open beyond its 46.7 continuation boundary and rallied another 2+ points before losing its momentum and crashing back to bottom at and bounce off its 41.1 failure boundary - no boundary breakout trades, only reversal trade as the stock plummeted back through its continuation boundary NITE Triggered long entries at its 48 continuation boundary for up to 1 1/2 points SFX Traded within its momentum boundaries - no trade FTN Tried to reverse its downward momentum briefly rallying through its 18 momentum failure boundary and then selling back off through it for the rest of the day - trades would have been stopped out for a fraction and would have broke even if they took the reversal by making back the fraction
Trading Channel - Channel Breach, Near Trading Channel, and Near/Narrow Channel
AETH Peaked about a point beyond its 274.1 upper boundary and then sold off - traders would have been stopped out with 1-1 1/2 point losses - if you took the reversal as it fell back through 274 you gained up to 19 points NSOL Triggered longs at its 325.9 upper breakpoint for up to 10 points HGSI Gapped open beyond its 220.1 upper breakpoint and remained there - no trades JNPR Triggered long entries at its 286.6 upper breakpoint for up to 9 points ITWO Gapped open 5 points beyond its 164.1 upper channel boundary, but triggered long trades when it continued through its 172 upper breakpoint for up to 3 points - it settled back inside its channel boundary - keep an eye on this stock again tomorrow KANA Triggered long trades at its 144.8 upper channel boundary for up to 5 points PHCM Gave a good long trade signal as it crossed its 140.9 upper trading channel for up to 8 points SIFY Bounced exactly off its 96.2 upper channel boundary and then sold off for the rest of the day remaining within its channel - this was a no trade unless you took the reversal at the upper channel boundary in which case you gained up to 5 points VITR Gapped beyond its 189.1 upper channel boundary and then came back to congest near the boundary for most of the day before selling off and closing inside its channel again
Envelope - Breakout Patterns and Envelope Patterns
IMCL Gapped open fractionally beyond its 131.6 envelope continuation boundary and then pulled back - it triggered long trades when it traded through the continuation boundary for up to 10 points LRCX Gapped fractionally beyond its 156.5 continuation boundary, rallied another 2 points, and then sold off for most of the day - no trade WAVX Gapped open beyond its 46.1 continuation boundary, ran another 2+ points and then sold off to bounce off its 41.1 failure boundary - no trade ETEK Also gapped open 7 points beyond its 273.8 long breakout entry and rallied for the rest of the day - unfortunately no trade because of the gap SFE Poked its head fractionally beyond its 175.4 breakout long entry boundary and then sold back off quickly, rebounded to near the boundary several times and again sold off - most traders would have been stopped out with about 1 point losses, if you took the reversal at the breakout boundary you made that initial loss plus up to another 12 points NDB Triggered long entries at its 45.8 breakout boundary for up to 4 points
Of interest to daytraders, from the Trading Index - CRA (12 points), PDLI (21 points), SDLI (50 points), TERN (20 points), VNTR (6 points), AETH (25 points), NSOL (20 points), ITWO (25 points)
Knowing where to expect, and capitalizing on, reversals is a key profit making tool in the daytrader's arsenal.
Whipsaws can happen in choppy markets and traders should always step away from the trade or give themselves more distance from the original entry boundary when a reversal occurs (such as adding one point to the reversal side of the trade entry boundary) to reduce the effect. Losses are a fact of life, but they can be easily kept to a minimum while maximizing your profits with proper stop management.
Recognizing that a mere one point per day profit when trading 500 shares (or 5 option contracts) is $120,000 per year, you begin to understand the potential for profit in applying Trade Prospector's information.
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Copyright 2000, by Third Millennium Trading. All rights reserved. This information is proprietary and reserved for the personal use of Trade Prospector users and registrants. No other use is permitted without the express authorization of Third Millennium Trading.
Disclaimer: Third Millennium Trading does not recommend the purchase or short sale of any stocks. Trading should be based on your own understanding of market conditions, price patterns and risk. The information presented here is designed to contribute to your understanding. Controlling risk through the use of protective stops is critical (more).